Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Adelaarshorst
We said: Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 Heracles
Go Ahead Eagles have won their opening three home games, but Heracles proved they are up to the task of maintaining their Eredivisie status with their 1-1 draw at AZ Alkmaar in their last away fixture.
As such, we think the visitors will be able to take a point from this weekend's match, extending their unbeaten run to four games.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.11% . A win for Heracles had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.06%) . The likeliest Heracles win was 1-2 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%) . The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result Go Ahead Eagles Draw Heracles 50.11% ( 0.47) 22.49% ( -0.08) 27.4% ( -0.39)
Both teams to score 62.54% ( -0.04)
62.4% ( 0.08) 37.6% ( -0.08)
40.17% ( 0.09) 59.83% ( -0.09)
84.72% ( 0.19) 15.27% ( -0.2)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.02% ( 0.36) 43.98% ( -0.36)
73.82% ( -0.22) 26.18% ( 0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.73% ( -0.3) 61.27% ( 0.3)
Go Ahead Eagles 50.11%
Heracles 27.4%
Draw 22.49%
Go Ahead Eagles Draw Heracles 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.99% Total : 50.11% 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.49% 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.4%
How you voted: Go Ahead Eagles vs Heracles
Go Ahead Eagles
Draw
Heracles
15
rhs 2.0
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