MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:20:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heracles Almelo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
Erve Asito
NEC

Heracles
2 - 1
Nijmegen

Hansson (61'), Ouahim (74')
Bruns (32'), Engels (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogawa (24')
Baas (28'), Marques (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 4-1 Heracles
Saturday, August 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-4 Excelsior
Sunday, August 13 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Heracles 1-2 NEC

While both sides suffered hefty defeats last week, the visitors looked much more fluid in attack, which we expect to see again here against newly-promoted opposition. With both defences failing to impress so far this campaign, we expect both teams to get on the scoresheet but fancy NEC to come away with the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for NEC had a probability of 22.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a NEC win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
HeraclesDrawNEC
53.65% (0.421 0.42) 23.7% (-0.073 -0.07) 22.65% (-0.348 -0.35)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-0.203 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (-0.058 -0.06)47.5% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (-0.055 -0.05)69.71% (0.053999999999988 0.05)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.134 0.13)17.63% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.77% (0.231 0.23)48.23% (-0.233 -0.23)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.69% (-0.351 -0.35)35.31% (0.351 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.93% (-0.366 -0.37)72.06% (0.366 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Heracles 53.65%
    NEC 22.65%
    Draw 23.69%
HeraclesDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.38% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.42% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.35% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 53.65%
1-1 @ 11.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 22.65%

How you voted: Heracles vs Nijmegen

Heracles
35.0%
Draw
20.0%
NEC
45.0%
20
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 17
Nijmegen
0-0
Heracles
Tavsan (45+1')
Quagliata (81'), Knoester (85')
Aug 29, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 3
Heracles
0-1
Nijmegen

Bakis (27'), de la Torre (76'), Fadiga (77'), Blaswich (77'), Knoester (87')
Bakis (41')
Akman (50')
Marquez Alvarez (41'), Okita (90+1')
Mar 5, 2017 3.45pm
Nijmegen
3-1
Heracles
Von Haacke (27', 33'), Golla (69')
Fomitschow (14')
Armenteros (14')
Kuwas (43')
Dec 2, 2016 7pm
Mar 6, 2016 11.30am
Nijmegen
1-0
Heracles
Santos (89')
Sleegers (21'), Breinburg (27'), Kane (65'), Foor (80')

Bruns (60'), Bel Hassani (76'), Fledderus (78'), Darri (85'), Navratil (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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