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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
49.89% ( 0.18) | 23.49% ( -0.04) | 26.62% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.11% ( 0.04) | 42.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.71% ( 0.04) | 65.29% ( -0.04) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.69% ( 0.08) | 17.31% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.33% ( 0.15) | 47.67% ( -0.15) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.5% ( -0.09) | 29.5% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.49% ( -0.11) | 65.51% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.9% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.48% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 26.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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