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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
28.13% ( -1.57) | 22.89% ( -0.34) | 48.97% ( 1.9) |
Both teams to score 61.72% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.05% ( 0.56) | 38.94% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.74% ( 0.58) | 61.26% ( -0.59) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( -0.76) | 26.37% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( -1.02) | 61.52% ( 1.01) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.82% ( 0.92) | 16.17% ( -0.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.36% ( 1.65) | 45.64% ( -1.65) |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.28) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.13% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.59% Total : 48.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 65 | 20 | 45 | 49 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 41 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 20 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 23 |
14 | Groningen | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 20 |
15 | Heracles | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 17 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 44 | -22 | 11 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |