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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Heerenveen

Nijmegen
2 - 0
Heerenveen

Ogawa (67'), Rober (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and Heerenveen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Volendam 2-5 Nijmegen
Friday, March 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-1 Heerenveen

Both sides have had little trouble finding the back of the net of late, and we are expecting an entertaining clash. We can also see the hosts coming away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 24.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.08%) and 1-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawHeerenveen
53.98% (-0.438 -0.44) 21.26% (0.146 0.15) 24.75% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 64.36% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.94% (-0.39699999999999 -0.4)34.06% (0.402 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.06% (-0.451 -0.45)55.94% (0.456 0.46)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.25999999999999 -0.26)12.8% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.88% (-0.54199999999999 -0.54)39.12% (0.547 0.55)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    NEC 53.98%
    Heerenveen 24.75%
    Draw 21.26%
NECDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-0 @ 6.89% (0.074000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 53.98%
1-1 @ 9.23% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.26%
1-2 @ 6.19% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.49% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.01% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.75%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Heerenveen

NEC
73.3%
Draw
20.0%
Heerenveen
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
1-1
Nijmegen
Walemark (6')
Kohlert (16')
Dost (45+2')
May 6, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 31
Nijmegen
2-3
Heerenveen
Mattsson (37'), Dimata (61')
Haye (27'), Van Hooijdonk (82'), Colassin (87')
Sep 4, 2022 1.30pm
Feb 13, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 20
Heerenveen
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (53'), van Hooijdonk (77'), Dresevic (82')
Tavsan (41')
Barreto (8'), van Rooij (73'), Schone (90+7')
Nov 6, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Nijmegen
1-1
Heerenveen
Akman (53')
Veerman (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax13102129121732
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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