MX23RW : Monday, December 30 21:04:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
Ajax

Heerenveen
3 - 2
Ajax

van Amersfoort (11', 46'), Sahraoui (38')
van Beek (49'), Kohlert (51'), Braude (65'), Bochniewicz (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bochniewicz (51' og.), Akpom (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 3-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, February 3 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 1-1 PSV
Saturday, February 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Heerenveen 1-3 Ajax

 Although Heerenveen have shown some life in recent matches, playing host to Ajax remains one of Dutch football's toughest games. While we expect the home side to get on the scoresheet, the visitors should have too much quality in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 38.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.94%) and 2-3 (4.66%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAjax
38.76% (-0.878 -0.88) 21.27% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 39.97% (0.899 0.9)
Both teams to score 72.38% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.19% (0.119 0.12)26.8% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.76% (0.151 0.15)47.24% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.85% (-0.28500000000001 -0.29)15.15% (0.28 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.26% (-0.536 -0.54)43.73% (0.532 0.53)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3% (0.38800000000001 0.39)14.69% (-0.392 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.13% (0.742 0.74)42.86% (-0.747 -0.75)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 38.76%
    Ajax 39.97%
    Draw 21.27%
HeerenveenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.2% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 38.76%
1-1 @ 8.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 7.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.23% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 7.72% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.94% (0.117 0.12)
2-3 @ 4.66% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 4.27% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.09% (0.082 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.62% (0.087 0.09)
1-4 @ 2.37% (0.088 0.09)
2-4 @ 2.24% (0.062 0.06)
3-4 @ 1.41% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.059 0.06)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 39.97%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs Ajax

Heerenveen
12.2%
Draw
7.3%
Ajax
80.5%
41
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ajax
4-1
Heerenveen
Bergwijn (25'), Brobbey (42'), Akpom (84', 90+2')
van den Boomen (60')
Brouwers (45+1')
van Amersfoort (40'), Olsson (81')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 25
Heerenveen
2-4
Ajax
Van Amersfoort (42'), Van Hooijdonk (79')
Kudus (10'), Alvarez (16'), Bergwijn (19'), Taylor (52')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Klaassen (4'), Taylor (16'), Kudus (48', 59'), Brobbey (70')
> Preview
May 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 29
Ajax
5-0
Heerenveen
Tagliafico (19'), Berghuis (33'), Haller (38' pen.), Brobbey (85'), Alvarez (90')
> Match Report
Oct 16, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 8
Heerenveen
0-2
Ajax

Madsen (55'), Kaib (61'), van Ewijk (90'), van Beek (90+1')
Haller (24'), Neres (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV17150259134645
2Ajax17123237162139
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1711333428636
4Feyenoord17105240211935
5AZ AlkmaarAZ17102531171432
6FC Twente1794432211131
7Go Ahead Eagles177463027325
8Fortuna SittardSittard177462525025
9Willem II176472119222
10NAC BredaNAC Breda177191927-822
11Heerenveen176381731-1421
12NECNijmegen1752102324-117
13PEC Zwolle174581626-1017
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta172691426-1212
17Almere CityAlmere City1723121037-279
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1714121841-237
> Eredivisie Full Table


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