Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 21.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.