We said: Bodo/Glimt 1-1 AZ Alkmaar
Both Bodo/Glimt and AZ Alkmaar are in good form overall heading into this fixture, and are two well-matched teams that should be able to provide a close encounter.
Neither club will want to give too much away in the first leg of this round, and because of that, it could end up being quite a cagey contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 43.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bodo/Glimt in this match.