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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
31.38% ( 0.02) | 23.61% ( 0.01) | 45.01% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 61.24% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.52% ( -0.07) | 40.48% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.14% ( -0.07) | 62.86% ( 0.07) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.94% ( -0.03) | 25.05% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.26% ( -0.04) | 59.73% ( 0.03) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.71% ( -0.04) | 18.28% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.65% ( -0.07) | 49.35% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.38% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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