MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 09:58:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2025 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
NEC

PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Nijmegen


Lutonda (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ogawa (23')
Linssen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Friday, December 20 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Willem II 4-1 Nijmegen
Sunday, December 22 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-2 NEC

A meeting between two struggling teams is usually the perfect opportunity for either of them to get back on track by securing all three points.   We are anticipating a keenly contested game here with the away side just about coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawNEC
31.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 23.61% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 45.01% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 61.24% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)40.48% (0.067 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (-0.073 -0.07)62.86% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (-0.02600000000001 -0.03)25.05% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)59.73% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)18.28% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.067 -0.07)49.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 31.38%
    NEC 45.01%
    Draw 23.61%
PEC ZwolleDrawNEC
2-1 @ 7.46% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.39% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.61% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 45.01%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs Nijmegen

PEC Zwolle
43.9%
Draw
31.6%
NEC
24.6%
57
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 3
Nijmegen
1-0
PEC Zwolle
Rober (87')
Pereira (55')

Fichtinger (36'), El Azzouzi (45+1'), Lutonda (46')
Lutonda (64')
Apr 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Nijmegen
2-2
PEC Zwolle
Ogawa (47', 53' pen.)
Hoedemakers (27'), Sandler (86')
Lam (10'), Velanas (68')
El Azzouzi (28'), Velanas (36'), Garcia McNulty (38'), Czyborra (90+2')
Dec 9, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
PEC Zwolle
1-3
Nijmegen
Namli (75')
van den Berg (90')
Tavsan (43'), Van Rooij (46'), Baas (90+2')
Feb 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 19
PEC Zwolle
1-1
Nijmegen
Redan (27')
Nakayama (8'), van Wermeskerken (86')
Voet (69')
Bruijn (26')
Vet (42'), Verdonk (72')
Aug 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 1
Nijmegen
2-0
PEC Zwolle
Akman (4'), Okita (42')
Duelund (18'), Okita (36'), Bruijn (54'), Elkarouani (73')

Clement (53'), Reijnders (82'), van den Belt (85')
Kersten (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV19151362184446
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1912433629740
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ19104533191434
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard197482632-625
9NAC BredaNAC Breda1981102332-925
10Heerenveen197392135-1424
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II196582426-223
13PEC Zwolle195591928-920
14Heracles184682134-1318
15Groningen184591528-1317
16Sparta RotterdamSparta192891628-1214
17Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1915132044-248


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