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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
34.45% ( 0.33) | 24.37% ( 0.2) | 41.17% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.95% ( -0.87) | 43.04% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.55% ( -0.86) | 65.44% ( 0.86) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.53% ( -0.22) | 24.47% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.09% ( -0.31) | 58.91% ( 0.31) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.98% ( -0.61) | 21.01% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.2% ( -0.96) | 53.79% ( 0.96) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.45% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |