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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 54.68%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 23.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
23.48% ( 0.05) | 21.85% ( 0.03) | 54.68% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.74% ( -0.11) | 38.27% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.46% ( -0.12) | 60.55% ( 0.12) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.52% ( -0.02) | 29.48% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.51% ( -0.03) | 65.49% ( 0.03) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.99% ( -0.06) | 14.01% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.46% ( -0.13) | 41.54% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 54.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |