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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 3-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (3.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
72.95% | 16.04% | 11% |
Both teams to score 53.71% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.88% | 34.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.99% | 56% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.91% | 8.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.57% | 28.43% |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.44% | 41.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.95% | 78.05% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 8.91% 1-0 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 7.83% 4-0 @ 5.6% 4-1 @ 4.92% 3-2 @ 3.44% 5-0 @ 2.82% 5-1 @ 2.48% 4-2 @ 2.16% 6-0 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 1.09% 6-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.07% Total : 72.95% | 1-1 @ 7.42% 2-2 @ 4.1% 0-0 @ 3.36% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.04% | 1-2 @ 3.26% 0-1 @ 2.95% 0-2 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.35% Total : 11.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |