Eredivisie | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Mandemakers Stadion
We said: RKC Waalwijk 1-0 Fortuna Sittard
Both teams have been defensively solid of late, so we are expecting a low-scoring affair in this one. That said, we are also backing the home side to just about get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 51.92% . A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 24.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%) . The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (6.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.
Result RKC Waalwijk Draw Fortuna Sittard 51.92% ( 2.55) 23.51% ( -0.68) 24.58% ( -1.87)
Both teams to score 56.19% ( 0.39)
55.26% ( 1.38) 44.74% ( -1.37)
32.9% ( 1.31) 67.1% ( -1.31)
82.76% ( 1.5) 17.25% ( -1.5)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.44% ( 2.57) 47.56% ( -2.56)
67.9% ( -0.77) 32.1% ( 0.78)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 31.42% ( -0.89) 68.58% ( 0.89)
RKC Waalwijk 51.92%
Fortuna Sittard 24.58%
Draw 23.5%
RKC Waalwijk Draw Fortuna Sittard 1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.36) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.86% Total : 51.92% 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.5% 0-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.58%
How you voted: RKC Waalwijk vs Sittard
RKC Waalwijk
Draw
Fortuna Sittard
45
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-29 18:30:23
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