MX23RW : Monday, November 4 18:34:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Waalwijk logo

Ajax
3 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Klaassen (41'), Berghuis (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Seuntjens (17')
Oukili (77'), Lelieveld (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 9 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 RKC Waalwijk

With Ajax beginning a new regime with Heitinga at the helm, with an already unblemished record from his first two matches in charge, we predict that the hosts will leave the Johan Cruijff ArenA with all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 5.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.27%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
84.82% (0.0080000000000098 0.01) 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.18% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)21.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.36% (0.012 0.01)40.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)3.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)15.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.82%
    RKC Waalwijk 5.44%
    Draw 9.74%
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
3-0 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
4-0 @ 8.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 5.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.19%
6-0 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.66%
6-1 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
7-0 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
7-1 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 84.82%
1-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 2.87%
0-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 9.74%
1-2 @ 1.72%
0-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 5.44%

How you voted: Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk

Ajax
93.5%
Draw
0.0%
RKC Waalwijk
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Gaari (2')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Sep 20, 2020 3.45pm
Ajax
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tadic (10'), Labyad (34'), Martinez (73')
Kudus (29')

Wouters (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!