MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 13:25:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Waalwijk logo

Ajax
3 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Brobbey (50'), Maduro (78'), Kudus (81')
Klaassen (41'), Berghuis (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Seuntjens (17')
Oukili (77'), Lelieveld (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 0-1 Ajax
Thursday, February 9 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, February 4 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 3-1 RKC Waalwijk

With Ajax beginning a new regime with Heitinga at the helm, with an already unblemished record from his first two matches in charge, we predict that the hosts will leave the Johan Cruijff ArenA with all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 5.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.27%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.

Result
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
84.82% (0.0080000000000098 0.01) 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.18% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)21.82% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.36% (0.012 0.01)40.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)3.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.58% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)15.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.27% (0.00099999999999767 0)44.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.72% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 84.82%
    RKC Waalwijk 5.44%
    Draw 9.74%
AjaxDrawRKC Waalwijk
3-0 @ 9.85%
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
4-0 @ 8.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.92% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
5-0 @ 5.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-0 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 4.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.19%
6-0 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.66%
6-1 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.77% (0.0010000000000001 0)
7-0 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
7-1 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 84.82%
1-1 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 2.87%
0-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 9.74%
1-2 @ 1.72%
0-1 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 5.44%

How you voted: Ajax vs RKC Waalwijk

Ajax
93.5%
Draw
0.0%
RKC Waalwijk
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 5.45pm
RKC Waalwijk
1-4
Ajax
Clement (40')
Gaari (2')
Berghuis (22', 53'), Brobbey (62', 81')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
Ajax
3-2
RKC Waalwijk
Haller (33', 37'), Tadic (90' pen.)
Martinez (15'), Rensch (53'), Tadic (90+3')
Kramer (50'), Van der Venne (57')
Anita (90+2')
Nov 21, 2021 3.45pm
RKC Waalwijk
0-5
Ajax

Gaari (85')
Haller (17', 83'), Berghuis (42', 57'), Maduro (74')
Apr 11, 2021 3.45pm
Sep 20, 2020 3.45pm
Ajax
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Tadic (10'), Labyad (34'), Martinez (73')
Kudus (29')

Wouters (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax13102129121732
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!