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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
46.04% | 24.26% | 29.7% |
Both teams to score 57.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.65% | 44.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.28% | 66.72% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% | 19.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.78% | 51.22% |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.95% | 28.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.29% | 63.71% |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
2-1 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.08% 4-0 @ 1.64% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.13% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 5.91% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.4% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
4 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |