MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:31:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
0 - 0
Almere City


El Yaakoubi (13'), Zagre (66')
FT

Resink (26'), Robinet (45'), Royo (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Almere City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heracles 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, September 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-2 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, September 2 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 2-1 Almere City

Excelsior have gone off the boil slightly following a decent first two matches, but a home clash with Almere on Sunday afternoon is the perfect opportunity to earn a second maximum of the season. The Black Sheep look out of place in the Eredivisie judging off their opening four results, although we believe that they will be competitive this weekend in Rotterdam - even if they suffer another loss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAlmere City
45.66% (0.938 0.94) 22.93% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 31.4% (-0.896 -0.9)
Both teams to score 63.75% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8% (-0.197 -0.2)37.19% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.6% (-0.213 -0.21)59.4% (0.213 0.21)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26% (0.283 0.28)16.73% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.35% (0.505 0.5)46.65% (-0.504 -0.5)
Almere City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.56% (-0.61 -0.61)23.44% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.55% (-0.895 -0.9)57.44% (0.894 0.89)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 45.66%
    Almere City 31.4%
    Draw 22.93%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawAlmere City
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.139 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.42% (0.07 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 45.66%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.037 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3%
Total : 31.4%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Almere City

SBV Excelsior
84.6%
Draw
15.4%
Almere City
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 32
Almere City
3-0
Excelsior
Puriel (51'), Alhaft (54'), Duijvestijn (69')
Pouwels (74')

El Yaakoubi (43'), Wieffer (54')
Nov 14, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 15
Excelsior
4-4
Almere City
Niemeijer (11', 82'), Dallinga (16'), Resink (54' og.)
Horemans (80'), Wieffer (89')
Duijvestijn (25'), Arweiler (69', 74', 78')
Receveur (24'), Duijvestijn (39')
Mar 6, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 27
Almere City
4-1
Excelsior
Hammouti (37', 44'), Emmers (79'), Yeboah (90')
Mendes Moreira (88')
Wieffer (66')
Sep 6, 2020 11.15am
Gameweek 2
Excelsior
4-6
Almere City
Niemeijer (5'), Mar Omarsson (16', 18', 87')
Matthys (17')
Verheydt (3', 37'), Hammouti (24'), Margaritha (25'), Emmers (86'), Receveur (88')
Verheydt (17'), Mirani (77'), Lesquoy (78')
Mar 29, 2020 11.15am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!