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Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 at 11.15am UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Excelsior

Nijmegen
3 - 4
Excelsior

Baas (36'), Hansen (44'), Ogawa (60')
Marques (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Agrafiotis (12'), Widell (53'), Omorowa (73'), Uddenas (90+10')
Seymor (84'), Baas (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 Excelsior
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-0 SBV Excelsior

While the opening day could throw up some surprises, NEC do have more quality throughout their squad than the visitors and should fancy themselves to come out on top with home advantage also on their side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
62.38% (0.17299999999999 0.17) 20.27% (-0.199 -0.2) 17.35% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.98% (0.761 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.3% (0.973 0.97)39.7% (-0.975 -0.98)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.95% (1.004 1)62.05% (-1.006 -1.01)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.8% (0.34400000000001 0.34)12.19% (-0.346 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.15% (0.723 0.72)37.85% (-0.724 -0.72)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.76% (0.62 0.62)36.24% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.97% (0.624 0.62)73.02% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    NEC 62.38%
    SBV Excelsior 17.35%
    Draw 20.27%
NECDrawSBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-0 @ 9.3% (-0.298 -0.3)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 6.86% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.67% (0.092 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.61% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.54% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.077 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.54% (0.058 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.52% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 62.38%
1-1 @ 9.44% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.077 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.27%
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.48% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.35%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs Excelsior

NEC
86.7%
Draw
13.3%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 22
Excelsior
0-3
Nijmegen
Mattsson (44'), Elkarouani (73'), Musaba (85')
Oct 8, 2022 8pm
Apr 9, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 33
Excelsior
2-1
Nijmegen
Zwarts (63', 79')
Wieffer (48')
Vet (16')
Jan 8, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 19
Nijmegen
3-2
Excelsior
Okita (50'), Elkarouani (79'), Bruijn (86' pen.)
Odenthal (28'), Proper (42'), Okita (72'), Vet (90+5')
Zwarts (14'), Van Rooijen (17')
Wieffer (49'), Matthys (90+4')
Ormonde-Ottewill (76')
Apr 10, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV14130150113939
2Ajax13102129121732
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1310122417731
4Feyenoord1485132141829
5FC Twente1484229141528
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1472526151123
7NAC BredaNAC Breda146171523-819
8Go Ahead Eagles145362023-318
9Fortuna SittardSittard145361519-418
10NECNijmegen145182114716
11Willem II144461516-116
12PEC Zwolle144371524-915
13Groningen144371424-1015
14Heerenveen144371427-1315
15Heracles143471426-1213
16Sparta RotterdamSparta142571321-811
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1413101334-216
18Almere CityAlmere City141310631-256


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