Eredivisie | Gameweek 21

Feb 12, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
2 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles

van Crooij (4'), Lauritsen (58')
de Guzman (26')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Stokkers (53')
Amofa (49'), Lidberg (51'), Idzes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Go Ahead Eagles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 0-0 Sparta
Friday, February 3 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Go Ahead Eagles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: ADO Den Haag 1-0 Go Ahead Eagles
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-0 Go Ahead Eagles

Sparta have been solid at the defensive end of the pitch of late, keeping clean sheets in four of their last five games. We fancy them to record yet another shut-out here en route to a comfortable win come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
42.9% ( 0.08)	26.81% ( 0.04)	30.28% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 50.09% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.22% (

-0.2)

54.77% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.91% (

-0.17)

76.08% (

0.17)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

-0.05)

25.29% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.94% (

-0.07)

60.06% (

0.07)

Go Ahead Eagles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

-0.2)

32.96% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

-0.22)

69.54% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 42.9%

Go Ahead Eagles 30.28%

Draw 26.8%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Go Ahead Eagles
1-0 @ 11.45% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.9%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.8%	0-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.28%