MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 00:42:34| >> :600:2172567:2172567:
Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
AEK Arena

Larnaca
1 - 0
Dnipro-1

Angel (84')
Angel (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hamache (19'), Tanchyk (59'), Kucher (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AEK Larnaca and Dnipro-1, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Larnaca
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Kryvbas Kryvyi 2-1 Dnipro-1
Monday, November 28 at 12pm in Ukrainian Premier League

We said: AEK Larnaca 3-1 Dnipro-1

AEK Larnaca comfortably got past the Ukrainian outfit when they last met in August, and with home advantage in the first leg and the visitors lacking match sharpness, we can only envisage another relatively routine victory for Oltra's men on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Larnaca in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AEK Larnaca.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawDnipro-1
43.53% (0.0030000000000001 0) 26.56%29.91%
Both teams to score 50.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)53.96% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)75.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)59.11%
Dnipro-1 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.19%32.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62%69.37% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 43.53%
    Dnipro-1 29.91%
    Draw 26.56%
AEK LarnacaDrawDnipro-1
1-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 8.84%
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.07%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9%
1-2 @ 7.03%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 29.91%

How you voted: Larnaca vs Dnipro-1

AEK Larnaca
84.5%
Draw
10.7%
Dnipro-1
4.8%
84
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2022 5pm
Playoffs
Larnaca
3-0
Dnipro-1
Gyurcso (21'), Lopes (45'), Englezou (78')
Gustavo (61'), Lopes (73'), Angel (90+1')

Loginov (14'), Babenko (42')
Aug 18, 2022 7pm
Playoffs
Dnipro-1
1-2
Larnaca
Svatok (90')
Sarapiy (63')
Sarapiy (90+5')
Altman (16'), Svatok (29' og.)
Gustavo (62'), Casas (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!