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Europa League
Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 8, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
Rennes

Larnaca
1 - 2
Rennes

Sanjurjo (33')
Christoforou (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Theate (29'), Assignon (90+4')
Santamaria (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between AEK Larnaca and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Larnaca

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Last Game: Larnaca 3-0 Dnipro-1
Thursday, August 25 at 5pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Rennes

Last Six:
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Rennes
Sunday, September 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: AEK Larnaca 1-3 Rennes

 A Larnaca side who have already demonstrated a prolific streak against European opposition should experience some joy in front of goal here, with Rennes likely to rotate and struggling to keep things tight at the back. Working without Doku or Gouiri is not what the doctor ordered for Genesio either, but Les Rouge et Noir still possess the attacking nous necessary to get the job done on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 37.16%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawRennes
37.16% (-0.15 -0.15) 27.93% (0.029999999999998 0.03) 34.91% (0.121 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (-0.107 -0.11)58.03% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)78.71% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (-0.145 -0.14)30.03% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-0.173 -0.17)66.16% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Rennes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (0.024000000000001 0.02)31.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (0.027999999999999 0.03)67.84% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 37.16%
    Rennes 34.9%
    Draw 27.93%
AEK LarnacaDrawRennes
1-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.83% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.17% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.74% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.16%
1-1 @ 13.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.93%
0-1 @ 10.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.32% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.9%

How you voted: Larnaca vs Rennes

AEK Larnaca
18.8%
Draw
10.4%
Rennes
70.8%
144
rhs 2.0
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