Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Atletic Club d'Escaldes had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Atletic Club d'Escaldes win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Partizani Tirana in this match.