Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gzira United win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Atletic Club d'Escaldes had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gzira United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Atletic Club d'Escaldes win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.