Urartu

2 - 0

Tallinna Kalev

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urartu win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Tallinna Kalev had a probability of 18.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Urartu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Tallinna Kalev win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urartu would win this match.