Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Kalevi Keskstaadioni kunstmuru
Tallinna Kalev1 - 2Urartu
Toomas Teevali (11')
Klavan (79'), Sinilaid (83')
Klavan (79'), Sinilaid (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Movsesyan (28', 77')
Gilmore (39'), Aghasaryan (90+1')
Gilmore (39'), Aghasaryan (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tallinna Kalev and Urartu.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urartu win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Tallinna Kalev had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urartu win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 0-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Tallinna Kalev win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Urartu in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tallinna Kalev | Draw | Urartu |
19.59% ( -0) | 20.16% ( -0.02) | 60.25% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 60.8% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
