Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion Hristo Botev
Botev Plovdiv2 - 1Zrinjski Mostar
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Botev Plovdiv and Zrinjski Mostar.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bravo 1-3 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, August 1 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 1 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Botev Plovdiv had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Botev Plovdiv win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Botev Plovdiv | Draw | Zrinjski Mostar |
32.1% ( 0.02) | 27.28% ( 0.01) | 40.61% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.37% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.98% ( -0.03) | 56.01% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% ( -0.03) | 77.1% ( 0.03) |
Botev Plovdiv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( 0) | 32.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( 0) | 68.81% |
Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.93% ( -0.04) | 27.07% ( 0.04) |