MX23RW : Tuesday, January 28 03:43:18| >> :600:2010611:2010611:
Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Aston Villa logo

Zrinjski Mostar
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Malekinusic (87')
Canadija (3'), Malekinusic (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Zaniolo (61')
Zaniolo (37'), McGinn (84')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa will benefit from playing two fewer games in the New Year after securing a spot in the Round of 16 in the Conference League with a 1-1 draw against Zrijnski.

Team News

Aston Villa boss Unai Emery rings the changes for Thursday's Europa Conference League fixture against Zrinjski Mostar.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: AZ 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Zrinjski MostarDrawAston Villa
46.27% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 22.29% (0.0010000000000012 0) 31.44% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 66.21% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.02% (0.010999999999996 0.01)33.98% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.16% (0.014999999999993 0.01)55.84% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Zrinjski Mostar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)15.27% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)43.97% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (0.024000000000001 0.02)21.86% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.9% (0.037000000000006 0.04)55.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Zrinjski Mostar 46.27%
    Aston Villa 31.44%
    Draw 22.29%
Zrinjski MostarDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 6.27% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.27%
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.02%
5-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 9.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 6.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.86% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.68% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.45% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Zrinjski Mostar vs Aston Villa

Zrinjski Mostar
13.5%
Draw
9.6%
Aston Villa
76.9%
52
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Aston Villa
1-0
Zrinjski Mostar
McGinn (90+4')
McGinn (24'), Cash (64')

Hrvanovic (22'), Bilbija (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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