Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Zrinjski Mostar1 - 2Legia
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Legia Warsaw.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 4-0 Legia
Saturday, October 21 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Saturday, October 21 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Legia Warsaw |
46.4% ( -0.02) | 23.82% ( 0) | 29.78% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 59.6% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.75% ( 0.01) | 42.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.34% ( 0.01) | 64.66% ( -0.01) |
Zrinjski Mostar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.01) | 18.42% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.41% ( -0.01) | 49.59% ( 0.01) |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.06% ( 0.02) | 26.94% ( -0.02) |