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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
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Crusaders
3 - 1
Magpies

Heatley (33'), Winchester (80'), Joe Burns (90+3')
Forsythe (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Casciaro (37')
Bent (34'), Zuniga (48'), Diaz (68'), Gonzalez (90')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Crusaders and Magpies.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

Last Six:
    Last Game: Magpies 2-1 Crusaders
    Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

    Magpies

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Magpies 2-1 Crusaders
      Thursday, July 7 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Magpies win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

      Result
      CrusadersDrawMagpies
      41.97% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.45%33.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      Both teams to score 59.13% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      56.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)43.63% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      33.98% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.02% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
      Crusaders Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      79.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)20.89% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      46.39% (0.014000000000003 0.01)53.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
      Magpies Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      74.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)25.25% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      39.99% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
      Score Analysis
          Crusaders 41.97%
          Magpies 33.58%
          Draw 24.44%
      CrusadersDrawMagpies
      2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
      1-0 @ 8.26% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
      2-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
      3-1 @ 4.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
      3-0 @ 3.38%
      3-2 @ 3.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
      4-1 @ 1.82%
      4-0 @ 1.32%
      4-2 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      Other @ 2.73%
      Total : 41.97%
      		1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      2-2 @ 6.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      3-3 @ 1.47% (0.002 0)
      Other @ 0.22%
      Total : 24.44%
      		1-2 @ 7.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
      0-1 @ 7.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      0-2 @ 5%
      1-3 @ 3.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
      2-3 @ 2.81% (0.0020000000000002 0)
      0-3 @ 2.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
      1-4 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
      2-4 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
      Other @ 2.6%
      Total : 33.58%

      How you voted: Crusaders vs Magpies

      Crusaders
      66.7%
      Draw
      33.3%
      Magpies
      0.0%
      6
      Head to Head
      Jul 7, 2022 5pm
      Magpies
      2-1
      Crusaders
      Bent (44'), Pereira (49')
      Coombes (30'), Coombes (45'), Casciaro (66'), Galan (81'), Morgan (82')
      Forsythe (63')
      Joe Burns (36'), O'Rourke (45'), Clarke (90+2')
      rhs 2.0
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