Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium
Magpies2 - 1Crusaders
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Magpies and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crusaders 1-2 Larne
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Coleraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Crusaders | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Dungannon Swifts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Magpies had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Magpies win was 2-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Magpies | Draw | Crusaders |
29.48% (![]() | 23.88% (![]() | 46.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.29% (![]() | 42.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.88% (![]() | 65.11% (![]() |
Magpies Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.63% (![]() | 27.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.16% (![]() | 62.84% (![]() |
Crusaders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.49% (![]() | 18.51% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% (![]() | 49.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Magpies 29.48%
Crusaders 46.64%
Draw 23.88%
Magpies | Draw | Crusaders |
2-1 @ 7.17% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.56% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.48% | 1-1 @ 11.07% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.47% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 9.34% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.55% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.21% 1-3 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.64% |
How you voted: Magpies vs Crusaders
Magpies
37.5%Draw
25.0%Crusaders
37.5%8
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Magpies
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-28 15:38:47
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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