UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg

Jul 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium

Derry
vs.
Magpies

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Europa Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Derry City and Magpies.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Sligo 2-1 Derry
Thursday, July 4 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Next Game: Magpies vs. Derry
Thursday, July 11 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Magpies

All competitions

Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Magpies
Thursday, July 20 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Next Game: Magpies vs. Derry
Thursday, July 11 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

	Team	Goals scored	Avg per game	Top scorer
1	Derry	40	1.60	Hoban
2	Waterford	33	1.43	Amond
3	Shamrock	31	1.35	Kenny
4	Shelbourne	28	1.17	Jarvis
5	Sligo	25	1.09	Chapman
6	St Patrick's	24	0.96	Keating
7	Bohemians	22	1.05	Akintunde
8	Drogheda	22	0.96	Pierrot
9	Galway United	18	0.82	Walsh
10	Dundalk	13	0.57	Gullan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derry City win with a probability of 71.33%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for Magpies has a probability of 11.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Magpies win it is 0-1 (3.65%).

Result
Derry City	Draw	Magpies
71.33% ( 0.09)	17.53% ( 0.24)	11.13% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 48.47% (

-2.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.93% (

-2.09)

41.07% (

2.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.54% (

-2.17)

63.46% (

2.17)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.77% (

-0.53)

10.23% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.45% (

-1.22)

33.54% (

1.22)

Magpies Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.99% (

-1.97)

46.01% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.27% (

-1.57)

81.73% (

1.57)

Score Analysis

Derry City 71.32%

Magpies 11.13%

Draw 17.53%

Derry City	Draw	Magpies
2-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.76) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.2) 4-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.24) 5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.18) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.34% Total : 71.32%	1-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.53%	0-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.13%