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UEFA Conference League
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stadions Daugava

FK Liepaja
1 - 1
Vikingur

Simic (55')
Mbaye Diouf (33'), Grinbergs (51'), Purtic (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kallsberg (21')
Ellingsgaard (86')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between FK Liepaja and Vikingur Gota.

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Liepaja

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Last Game: Young Boys 3-0 FK Liepaja
Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Vikingur Gota

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Last Game: Vikingur 1-1 Inter Escaldes
Thursday, July 20 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vikingur Gota win with a probability of 57.71%. A win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 21.36% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vikingur Gota win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 0-1 (7.9%). The likeliest FK Liepaja win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
FK LiepajaDrawVikingur Gota
21.36% (-6.158 -6.16) 20.93% (-1.915 -1.92) 57.71% (8.075 8.08)
Both teams to score 60.94% (-0.41 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.45% (2.66 2.66)36.55% (-2.659 -2.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.3% (2.843 2.84)58.7% (-2.842 -2.84)
FK Liepaja Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (-3.397 -3.4)30.33% (3.397 3.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (-4.25 -4.25)66.52% (4.252 4.25)
Vikingur Gota Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.47% (3.506 3.51)12.53% (-3.505 -3.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.45% (6.829 6.83)38.56% (-6.828 -6.83)
Score Analysis
    FK Liepaja 21.36%
    Vikingur Gota 57.71%
    Draw 20.93%
FK LiepajaDrawVikingur Gota
2-1 @ 5.62% (-1.184 -1.18)
1-0 @ 4.53% (-1.131 -1.13)
2-0 @ 2.7% (-1.011 -1.01)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-1 @ 2.23% (-0.741 -0.74)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.55 -0.55)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 21.36%
1-1 @ 9.42% (-0.952 -0.95)
2-2 @ 5.83% (-0.392 -0.39)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.518 -0.52)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.93%
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.289 0.29)
0-2 @ 8.2% (0.964 0.96)
0-1 @ 7.9% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.77% (0.98 0.98)
0-3 @ 5.68% (1.261 1.26)
2-3 @ 4.04% (0.241 0.24)
1-4 @ 3.52% (0.866 0.87)
0-4 @ 2.95% (0.927 0.93)
2-4 @ 2.1% (0.359 0.36)
1-5 @ 1.46% (0.491 0.49)
0-5 @ 1.22% (0.484 0.48)
Other @ 4.11%
Total : 57.71%

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