MX23RW : Monday, November 4 18:29:53| >> :120:29432:29432:
Hibs logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Hibernian
0 - 5
Aston Villa


Boyle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Watkins (17', 33', 48'), Bailey (42'), Luiz (74' pen.)
Digne (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League clash between Hibernian and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Everton
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Hibernian 1-2 Aston Villa

The huge gulf in resources between the two clubs leaves Aston Villa clear favourites to progress after next week's second leg, but Hibs certainly will not make life easy for the Premier League side. On home soil, the Hibees have won both of their qualifying fixtures so far; however, stepping up in class will see them beaten by a team with a wealth of European experience - most notably in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawAston Villa
36.25% (0.11 0.11) 24.4% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 39.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 59.87% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-0.133 -0.13)42.9% (0.13 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-0.13 -0.13)65.3% (0.129 0.13)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)23.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (-0.128 -0.13)21.83% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (-0.193 -0.19)55.05% (0.192 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 36.26%
    Aston Villa 39.34%
    Draw 24.4%
HibernianDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 36.26%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aston Villa

Hibernian
11.9%
Draw
9.7%
Aston Villa
78.4%
176
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Bournemouth104331312115
10Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!