MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 15:50:16| >> :600:2227029:2227029:
Hibs logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 23, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Hibernian
0 - 5
Aston Villa


Boyle (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Watkins (17', 33', 48'), Bailey (42'), Luiz (74' pen.)
Digne (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa Conference League clash between Hibernian and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 4-0 Everton
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Premier League

We said: Hibernian 1-2 Aston Villa

The huge gulf in resources between the two clubs leaves Aston Villa clear favourites to progress after next week's second leg, but Hibs certainly will not make life easy for the Premier League side. On home soil, the Hibees have won both of their qualifying fixtures so far; however, stepping up in class will see them beaten by a team with a wealth of European experience - most notably in the dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 2-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
HibernianDrawAston Villa
36.25% (0.11 0.11) 24.4% (0.027999999999999 0.03) 39.34% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 59.87% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.1% (-0.133 -0.13)42.9% (0.13 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.7% (-0.13 -0.13)65.3% (0.129 0.13)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.59% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)23.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (-0.128 -0.13)21.83% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.95% (-0.193 -0.19)55.05% (0.192 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Hibernian 36.26%
    Aston Villa 39.34%
    Draw 24.4%
HibernianDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.2% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.042 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.39% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.61% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 36.26%
1-1 @ 11.29% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.78% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.36% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 39.34%

How you voted: Hibernian vs Aston Villa

Hibernian
11.9%
Draw
9.7%
Aston Villa
78.4%
176
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


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