Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 2Tromso
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock
Sunday, August 4 at 4.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, August 4 at 4.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rosenborg 1-0 Tromso
Sunday, August 4 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Sunday, August 4 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Goals
for
for
18
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Tromso IL
With both sides on a relatively level playing field and keen to get a foothold in an important third-round tie, we anticipate a cagey opening leg on Thursday, which could end level in Scotland. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Tromso IL |
33.94% ( -0.01) | 26.08% ( -0.01) | 39.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
