Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
29.86% ( 0.32) | 25.01% ( 0.44) | 45.13% ( -0.76) |
Both teams to score 55.57% ( -1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% ( -1.77) | 47.56% ( 1.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.23% ( -1.66) | 69.76% ( 1.66) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.44% ( -0.68) | 29.56% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.41% ( -0.83) | 65.58% ( 0.83) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.89% ( -1.06) | 21.11% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.06% ( -1.67) | 53.94% ( 1.67) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.33% Total : 29.86% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 4 | 31 | 34 |
2 | Aberdeen | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
5 | Motherwell | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 18 |
7 | Dundee | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 15 |
8 | Ross County | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 15 |
9 | St Johnstone | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 13 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 12 |
11 | Hearts | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |