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Scottish Premiership
Dundee logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

McCowan (37')
Main (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mackay-Steven (24')
Wright (49'), Deas (76')
Deas (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions
Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock

 There has been nothing to separate these two teams when they have butted heads in the league this season, but there has been plenty of goalmouth action and another entertaining contest could be in store on Saturday, with both sides sharing the spoils once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
29.86% (0.316 0.32) 25.01% (0.44 0.44) 45.13% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Both teams to score 55.57% (-1.285 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-1.771 -1.77)47.56% (1.77 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23% (-1.66 -1.66)69.76% (1.658 1.66)
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.678 -0.68)29.56% (0.676 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (-0.832 -0.83)65.58% (0.83200000000001 0.83)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (-1.057 -1.06)21.11% (1.056 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.06% (-1.672 -1.67)53.94% (1.671 1.67)
Score Analysis
    Dundee 29.86%
    Kilmarnock 45.13%
    Draw 25%
DundeeDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.412 0.41)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 2.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.88% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 11.82% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.448 0.45)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25%
0-1 @ 9.71% (0.399 0.4)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.55% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.77% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 3.91% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-4 @ 1.13% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 45.13%

How you voted: Dundee vs Kilmarnock

Dundee
27.8%
Draw
27.8%
Kilmarnock
44.4%
18
Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Dennis (11' og.), McCowan (63' pen.)
Beck (39'), A (90+4')
Watkins (35')
Vassell (49'), Ndaba (67'), Deas (90+2'), van Veen (90+7'), van Veen (90+7')
Mayo (60')
> Preview
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
2-0
Dundee
Vassell (1'), Watkins (3')
Watkins (42')
Dec 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Kilmarnock
2-2
Dundee
Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')
McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')
> Preview
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Dundee
2-2
Kilmarnock
Bakayoko (16'), Rudden (90+3')
Rudden (68')
Mulligan (34')
Armstrong (30' pen., 81')
Deas (39'), Armstrong (60'), Wright (87')
McInnes (35')
> Preview
May 24, 2021 7.45pm
Final 2nd Leg
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee
Lafferty (69' pen.)
Tshibola (55'), McKenzie (73'), Whitehall (87')
Mullen (7'), Ashcroft (12')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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