Europa League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock1 - 1Cercle Brugge
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kilmarnock 5-0 Barrow
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-0 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
Saturday, July 20 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 1
We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Cercle Brugge
Both teams will fancy their chances of coming out on top in this first-leg tie, particularly Kilmarnock on home soil, but we expect a somewhat cagey affair to take place on Thursday which could lead to a share of the spoils, keeping the tie finely poised ahead of the reverse fixture next week. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
33.81% ( -3.71) | 25.12% ( -0.11) | 41.08% ( 3.82) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.39% ( 0.07) | 46.61% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.12% ( 0.07) | 68.88% ( -0.06) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.46% ( -2.09) | 26.54% ( 2.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.26% ( -2.85) | 61.74% ( 2.86) |
Cercle Brugge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% ( 2) | 22.59% ( -2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.8% ( 2.89) | 56.2% ( -2.89) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 33.81%
Cercle Brugge 41.08%
Draw 25.11%
Kilmarnock | Draw | Cercle Brugge |
1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.52) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.69) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.46) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.47) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.23) Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.11% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( 0.47) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.72) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.47) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.52) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.26) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.08% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Cercle Brugge
Kilmarnock
30.6%Draw
26.4%Cercle Brugge
43.1%72
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-31 10:00:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Garnacho replacement? Man United 'to sell forward and bring in teenage star before deadline'
2
Union Berlin vs. RB Leipzig - prediction, team news, lineups
3
New York Knicks vs. Los Angeles Lakers - prediction, team news, form guide
4
Is Postecoglou Tel-ling? Tottenham boss responds to £50m transfer claim
5
Wolves vs. Aston Villa - prediction, team news, lineups
6
Red Devils' revenge? Man United, Spurs discover possible EL last-16 opponents
7
Hibernian vs. Aberdeen - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Bournemouth vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups
9
Espanyol vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups
10
Ipswich vs. Southampton - prediction, team news, lineups
Sport News 24/7