MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 13:38:14| >> :600:2219107:2219107:
Lille
Conference League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Slovan Bratislava

Lille
2 - 1
Slovan Bratislava

Yazici (68'), Cabella (82')
Diakite (63'), Bentaleb (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cavric (23')
Kucka (75'), Wimmer (90+5')
Lovat (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lille and Slovan Bratislava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Lille 2-0 Slovan Bratislava

Lille will be in the mood to claim top spot in Group A after being forced to share the spoils in the Faroe Islands against Klaksvik last time out. Bratislava are enjoying plenty of success in Slovakia and on the continent during the opening stages of the term, but we believe that their winning run will come to an end on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 22.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawSlovan Bratislava
54.64% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23% (0.0020000000000024 0) 22.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.79% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)67.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.31% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)45.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)34.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)70.8% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.64%
    Slovan Bratislava 22.35%
    Draw 23%
LilleDrawSlovan Bratislava
1-0 @ 10.08%
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.64%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.09%
2-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 22.35%

How you voted: Lille vs Slovan Bratislava

Lille
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Slovan Bratislava
12.5%
48
rhs 2.0
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