MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 07:21:04| >> :600:1418877:1418877:
Lille
Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Rijeka

Zhegrova (43'), Yoro (89')
Andre (15'), Zhegrova (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pasalic (24')
Mitrovic (52'), Labrovic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lille and HNK Rijeka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, August 20 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

We said: Lille 3-1 HNK Rijeka

Although Rijeka have made an impressive start to the season - winning seven of their eight games in all competitions - Lille are expected to flex their Ligue 1 muscles and chalk up a sizeable first-leg lead on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawHNK Rijeka
61.17% (0.228 0.23) 20.35% (0.113 0.11) 18.48% (-0.334 -0.33)
Both teams to score 58% (-1.053 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.88% (-1.077 -1.08)38.12% (1.083 1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.61% (-1.157 -1.16)60.39% (1.163 1.16)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.95% (-0.26400000000001 -0.26)12.05% (0.271 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.46% (-0.569 -0.57)37.54% (0.576 0.58)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.94% (-0.991 -0.99)34.05% (0.996 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.26% (-1.085 -1.09)70.74% (1.092 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Lille 61.17%
    HNK Rijeka 18.48%
    Draw 20.35%
LilleDrawHNK Rijeka
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.354 0.35)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.48% (0.131 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.43% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 61.17%
1-1 @ 9.35% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.209 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.42% (0.11 0.11)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 18.48%

How you voted: Lille vs Rijeka

Lille
89.4%
Draw
8.5%
HNK Rijeka
2.1%
47
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!