Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Brest |
58.97% ( -0.42) | 21.72% ( 0.04) | 19.3% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.82% ( 0.4) | 43.18% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.42% ( 0.4) | 65.58% ( -0.4) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% ( 0) | 14.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.88% ( 0) | 42.12% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.84% ( 0.64) | 36.16% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.06% ( 0.65) | 72.94% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.97% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |