Ludogorets

4 - 0

Spartak Trnava

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Spartak Trnava win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.