MX23RW : Monday, November 25 20:42:50| >> :60:57:57:
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7pm UK
Stadion Antona Malatinskeho

Spartak Trnava
3 - 1
Lech Poznan

Ofori (37'), Daniel (50'), Stetina (74')
Djuricin (40'), Prochazka (40'), Stetina (57'), Daniel (59'), Sulek (66'), Mikovic (80'), Gorosito (90+7'), Kostrna (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Velde (63')
Murawski (73'), Ishak (90+7'), Sousa (90+7'), Sousa (90+7')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Spartak Trnava and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-1 Spartak Trnava
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Spartak TrnavaDrawLech Poznan
32.6% (-0.777 -0.78) 26.82% (0.139 0.14) 40.58% (0.641 0.64)
Both teams to score 50.91% (-0.639 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.87% (-0.72199999999999 -0.72)54.12% (0.724 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (-0.608 -0.61)75.54% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Spartak Trnava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (-0.877 -0.88)31.01% (0.881 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (-1.042 -1.04)67.31% (1.044 1.04)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)26.21% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)61.31% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Spartak Trnava 32.6%
    Lech Poznan 40.58%
    Draw 26.82%
Spartak TrnavaDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.57% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 32.6%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.13% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 10.88% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.29% (0.208 0.21)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.28% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 40.58%

How you voted: Spartak Trnava vs Lech Poznan

Spartak Trnava
0.0%
Draw
7.7%
Lech Poznan
92.3%
13
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Lech Poznan
2-1
Spartak Trnava
Marchwinski (46'), Velde (63')
Andersson (67')
Stetina (87')
Bainovic (44'), Prochazka (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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