Europa League | Quarter-Finals
Apr 8, 2021 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax1 - 2Roma
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 59.39%. A win for Roma had a probability of 21.02% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 3-1 (7.16%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Roma |
| 59.39% | 19.6% | 21.02% |
| Both teams to score 65.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.55% | 30.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.27% | 51.73% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.81% | 10.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.54% | 33.46% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% | 27.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.53% | 62.47% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 59.39%
Roma 21.02%
Draw 19.6%
| Ajax | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 7.2% 3-1 @ 7.16% 1-0 @ 6.3% 3-0 @ 5.48% 3-2 @ 4.67% 4-1 @ 4.09% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-2 @ 2.67% 5-1 @ 1.87% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-2 @ 1.22% 4-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.61% Total : 59.39% | 1-1 @ 8.23% 2-2 @ 6.14% 0-0 @ 2.76% 3-3 @ 2.04% Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.6% | 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-1 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.65% Total : 21.02% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Roma
Ajax
72.1%Draw
13.8%Roma
14.0%499
