MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:13:59| >> :120:8309:8309:
Atalanta logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sporting Lisbon

Atalanta
2 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Lookman (46'), Scamacca (59')
Holm (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atalanta BC 2-3 Sporting Lisbon (Sporting win 4-3 on aggregate)

La Dea have not won in five in all competitions, suffering two defeats in that period, thus giving Sporting the confidence to end their winless run against Italian clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 36.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSporting Lisbon
38.64% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 24.98% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 36.37% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 57.79% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.39% (0.093000000000004 0.09)45.6% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.06% (0.088000000000001 0.09)67.93% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (0.091999999999999 0.09)23.37% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.65% (0.134 0.13)57.34% (-0.133 -0.13)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41% (0.0020000000000095 0)24.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 38.65%
    Sporting Lisbon 36.37%
    Draw 24.97%
Atalanta BCDrawSporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.52% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.07% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.13% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 38.65%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.85% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 36.37%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sporting Lisbon

Atalanta BC
72.3%
Sporting Lisbon
27.7%
184
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Sporting Lisbon
1-1
Atalanta
Paulinho (17')
Edwards (36')
Scamacca (39')
Hien (14'), Scalvini (49'), Djimsiti (56')
Nov 30, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Atalanta
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Scamacca (23')
Lookman (38'), Scalvini (42'), Kolasinac (43'), de Roon (62')
Edwards (56')
Inacio (11'), Reis (90+4'), Morita (90+1')
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
Atalanta
Gyokeres (76' pen.)
Goncalves (84'), Braganca (90+2')
Scalvini (33'), Ruggeri (43')
Djimsiti (51'), Toloi (60'), Kolasinac (76'), Scamacca (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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