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Europa League
Atalanta logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
1 - 0
Sturm Graz

Djimsiti (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gorenc Stankovic (45+2'), Schnegg (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Atalanta BC and Sturm Graz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, November 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Sturm Graz

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: LASK 3-1 Sturm Graz
Sunday, November 5 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Sturm Graz

 Atalanta have an excellent record at home this season and will know that a win here could give them a chance to rotate their squad over the busy December period, which could be very important for both their league and cup aspirations. While the visitors will not be a pushover, we feel that the hosts will be too good for them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Sturm Graz had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Sturm Graz win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSturm Graz
47.78%24.62%27.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 55.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)47.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69.42% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.82% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.11% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)51.89% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Sturm Graz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68%67.32%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.78%
    Sturm Graz 27.6%
    Draw 24.61%
Atalanta BCDrawSturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.95%
2-1 @ 9.43%
2-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 5.09%
3-0 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.06%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.78%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.14%
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.61%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.82%
0-2 @ 4.21%
1-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 27.6%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sturm Graz

Atalanta BC
82.5%
Draw
11.1%
Sturm Graz
6.3%
63
Head to Head
Oct 26, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Sturm Graz
2-2
Atalanta
Prass (13'), Wlodarczyk (80' pen.)
Hierlander (45+7'), Kiteishvili (45+2')
Hierlander (52')
Muriel (34', 45+7')
Lookman (45+7'), Bakker (82')
> Preview
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