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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Farense logo

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Farense

Braganca (11'), Gyokeres (29'), Goncalves (53')
St Juste (48')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Belloumi (32'), Luis (50')
Isidoro (22'), Muscat (40'), Luis (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Benfica
Thursday, February 29 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

SC Farense

All competitions
Last Game: Farense 0-1 Moreirense
Saturday, February 24 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-0 SC Farense

 Sporting could be tired after their domestic cup exertions against their city rivals Benfica, but they should possess far too much individual quality for Farense to cope with. The visitors have dipped in recent weeks after making a decent start to life back in the top flight following their promotion last season, and they would likely settle for suffering a defeat as narrow as possible. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 87.04%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 4.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 4-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.11%), while for a SC Farense win it was 1-2 (1.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
87.04% (0.63000000000001 0.63) 8.84% (-0.233 -0.23) 4.12% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.16% (-2.636 -2.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.61% (-1.144 -1.14)24.39% (1.147 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.88% (-1.526 -1.53)44.11% (1.528 1.53)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.34% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)3.66% (0.091 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
84.24% (-0.298 -0.3)15.75% (0.303 0.3)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.91% (-2.69 -2.69)52.09% (2.693 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.93% (-1.826 -1.83)86.07% (1.829 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 87.02%
    SC Farense 4.12%
    Draw 8.84%
Sporting LisbonDrawSC Farense
3-0 @ 11.49% (0.62 0.62)
2-0 @ 10.42% (0.632 0.63)
4-0 @ 9.51% (0.445 0.44)
3-1 @ 7.5% (-0.172 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.3% (0.43 0.43)
5-0 @ 6.29% (0.249 0.25)
4-1 @ 6.2% (-0.191 -0.19)
5-1 @ 4.11% (-0.158 -0.16)
6-0 @ 3.47% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.26 -0.26)
6-1 @ 2.26% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.232 -0.23)
7-0 @ 1.64% (0.041 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.34% (-0.164 -0.16)
7-1 @ 1.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 87.02%
1-1 @ 4.11% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.22% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-0 @ 1.91% (0.144 0.14)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 8.84%
1-2 @ 1.34% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 4.12%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Farense

Sporting Lisbon
90.0%
Draw
10.0%
SC Farense
0.0%
30
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
4-2
Farense
Gyokeres (24', 28' pen., 63'), Santos (56')
Reis (14')
Oliveira (49'), Goncalves (79')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 7
Farense
2-3
Sporting Lisbon
Oliveira (37', 55')
Belloumi (58'), Oliveira (63'), Luis (85'), Velho (88'), Jorge (90+3')
Silva (18')
Gyokeres (21' pen., 90'), Goncalves (35')
Hjulmand (36'), Santos (53'), Braganca (84'), Inacio (85'), Goncalves (88'), Morita (90+4')
> Preview
Nov 30, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
6-0
Farense
Paulinho (20', 22'), Edwards (39'), Goncalves (48'), Arthur (75'), Fernandes (85' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 16, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 27
Farense
0-1
Sporting Lisbon

Gauld (90+3')
Goncalves (35')
Reis (40'), Adan (86')
> Preview
Dec 19, 2020 8.30pm
Gameweek 10
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Farense
Sporar (90+1' pen.)
Tomas (26'), Palhinha (41'), Coates (68'), Santos (90+7')

Defendi (36'), Isidoro (43'), Nunes (75'), Mancha (83')
Defendi (86')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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