Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Celtic Park
Celtic2 - 0AZ
The Match
Match Report
James Forrest netted a deflected second-half goal to put the Hoops in charge of the tie.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League clash between Celtic and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 52.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for an AZ Alkmaar win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 52.76% | 23.76% | 23.47% |
| Both teams to score 54.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.06% | 46.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.81% | 69.18% |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.25% | 17.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.57% | 48.43% |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% | 34.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.05% | 70.94% |
| Score Analysis |
Celtic 52.75%
AZ Alkmaar 23.47%
Draw 23.76%
| Celtic | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.73% 2-0 @ 9.08% 3-1 @ 5.61% 3-0 @ 5.24% 3-2 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.6% Total : 52.75% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 0-0 @ 6.08% 2-2 @ 5.22% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.51% 1-2 @ 6.03% 0-2 @ 3.49% 1-3 @ 2.16% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.47% |
How you voted: Celtic vs AZ
Celtic
81.5%Draw
10.1%AZ Alkmaar
8.3%168
