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Europa League
Ferencvaros
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
 
Shamrock Rovers

Ferencvaros
4 - 0
Shamrock

Auzqui (13'), Traore (34', 48'), Civic (90+3')
Auzqui (27'), Knoester (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoare (14'), Grace (49'), Farrugia (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

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Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-3 Qarabag FK
Tuesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:
Last Game: Derry 0-0 Shamrock
Friday, August 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Ferencvaros 2-0 Shamrock Rovers

 While Shamrock can claim to be in good form and be playing under less pressure on Thursday evening, the better quality is in Ferencvaros' ranks. Although we anticipate a competitive contest, the home side should come through with the victory, potentially with a clean sheet to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 3-1 (5.84%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawShamrock Rovers
47.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 21.78% (0.0019999999999989 0) 30.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 67.63% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)31.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.53% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)53.47% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)14.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)41.57% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)21.34% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)54.3% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 47.65%
    Shamrock Rovers 30.56%
    Draw 21.78%
FerencvarosDrawShamrock Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 47.65%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.99% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.78%
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 4.62% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 30.56%

How you voted: Ferencvaros vs Shamrock

Ferencvaros
75.9%
Draw
7.1%
Shamrock Rovers
17.0%
112
rhs 2.0
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