MX23RW : Monday, January 20 22:31:46| >> :120:10401:10401:
Freiburg logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
West Ham logo

Freiburg
1 - 0
West Ham

The Match

Match Report

Michael Gregoritsch scores the only goal of the match as Freiburg record a 1-0 victory over West Ham United in the first leg of their last-16 Europa League contest.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Freiburg and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawWest Ham United
47.5% (0.971 0.97) 22.13% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09) 30.37% (-0.881 -0.88)
Both teams to score 66.15% (-0.184 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.21% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)33.79% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.37% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)55.63% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.32599999999999 0.33)14.77% (-0.328 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.624 0.62)43.03% (-0.624 -0.62)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.62% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)22.38% (0.516 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.12% (-0.779 -0.78)55.88% (0.778 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 47.5%
    West Ham United 30.37%
    Draw 22.13%
FreiburgDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.081000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.32% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.146 0.15)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.118 0.12)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.85% (0.136 0.14)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.035 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.84% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.045 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 9.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 2.16% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.129 -0.13)
0-1 @ 4.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.71% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.54% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.38% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.37%

How you voted: Freiburg vs West Ham

Freiburg
21.8%
Draw
23.8%
West Ham United
54.5%
202
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
West Ham
2-0
Freiburg
Kudus (14'), Alvarez (42')
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Freiburg
1-2
West Ham
Sallai (49')
Hofler (25')
Paqueta (8'), Aguerd (66')
Alvarez (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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