Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg2 - 2Bayern
The Match
Match Report
Freiburg's Lucas Holer nets a late equaliser to deny Bayern Munich all three points at the Europa-Park Stadion.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg
Sunday, February 25 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, February 25 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 24 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 51.64%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.32%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
27.16% ( 0) | 21.21% ( 0) | 51.64% |
| Both teams to score 67.14% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.51% ( 0) | 31.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.04% ( 0) | 52.96% |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( 0) | 23.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.97% ( 0) | 57.03% |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.38% ( 0) | 12.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.26% ( 0) | 38.74% |
| Score Analysis |
Freiburg 27.16%
Bayern Munich 51.64%
Draw 21.21%
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 6.47% 1-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-1 @ 3.16% 2-0 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 1.53% 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.16% | 1-1 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 6.7% 0-0 @ 2.92% 3-3 @ 2.25% Other @ 0.48% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 9.16% 1-3 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 6.26% 0-1 @ 6.05% 2-3 @ 4.62% 0-3 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 1.35% 3-4 @ 1.17% 2-5 @ 0.99% 0-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.57% Total : 51.64% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs Bayern
Freiburg
11.1%Draw
13.2%Bayern Munich
75.7%189
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bayern
5-0
Freiburg
