Kalmar

1 - 3

Elfsborg

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.