MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 15:13:03| >> :600:305454:305454:
Molde logo
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Aker Stadion

Molde
0 - 1
Elfsborg


Fjortoft Lovik (26'), Lund Jensen (63'), Haugan (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Qasem (15')
Qasem (43'), Pettersson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Elfsborg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cercle Brugge 1-0 Molde
Thursday, August 15 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 1-1 Elfsborg
Sunday, August 18 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

We said: Molde 1-1 Elfsborg

Although Molde were more dominant in their third qualifying round than Elfsborg were in theirs, it is difficult to ignore the visitors' strong form in recent matches. It would not be surprising if the first leg was another closely fought contest, leaving all to play for in the second. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.07% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.5%) and 1-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawElfsborg
55.96% (0.061 0.06) 20.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 23.07% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 63.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.46% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)34.53% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.53% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)56.47% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.61% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)12.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.75%38.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Elfsborg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)27.74% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.68% (-0.098000000000006 -0.1)63.32% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Molde 55.96%
    Elfsborg 23.07%
    Draw 20.97%
MoldeDrawElfsborg
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.18% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.22% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.96%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 23.07%

How you voted: Molde vs Elfsborg

Molde
61.7%
Draw
22.6%
Elfsborg
15.8%
133
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2022 5.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 2nd Leg
Elfsborg
1-2
Molde
Baidoo (40')
Jarjue (7')
Breivik (54'), Fofana (83')
Haugan (24')
Jul 21, 2022 5pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Molde
4-1
Elfsborg
Andre Kaasa (49'), Haugen (55'), Breivik (60'), Mannsverk (81' pen.)
Knudtzon (90+1'), Hansen (90+3')
Alm (14')
Strand (43'), Larsson (50'), Romer (51'), Henriksson (57'), Holmen (75')
Boateng (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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